COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
14-9 | Road
75
PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
8-16 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
TIGERS
100%
LIONS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Columbia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLU)
COLU By 1-7 points
27.4%
COLU By 8-14 points
21.6%
PRIN By 1-7 points
20.1%
PRIN By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbia
81
COLUMBIA
Princeton
77
PRINCETON
Simulated Score
Columbia
55
COLUMBIA
Princeton
68
PRINCETON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.0
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u138.0
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
COLU @ PRIN
75 - 65
Jan 31, 2026
PRIN @ COLU
80 - 68
Feb 28, 2025
PRIN @ COLU
73 - 68
Jan 20, 2025
COLU @ PRIN
67 - 71
Mar 1, 2024
COLU @ PRIN
70 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+42.4% more
Columbia: 15.0
vs
Princeton: 8.6
Assists (L5)
+21.7% more
Columbia: 16.2
vs
Princeton: 12.7
Steals (L5)
+13.3% more
Columbia: 4.5
vs
Princeton: 3.9
Rebounding (L5)
+9.6% more
Columbia: 34.5
vs
Princeton: 31.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLU Score
81.0
75
PRIN Score
77.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 36.1
23.0 / 48.0
Assists
12.7 / 16.2
5.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.2
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.5 / 46.4
51.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
79.9 / 57.0
71.0 / 45.0
Rebounding
31.1 / 34.5
29.0 / 25.0
Steals
3.9 / 4.5
2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 15.0
9.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLU
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRIN
COLU
PRIN
COLU
ML
45%
13-16
44%
12-15
62%
18-11
56%
15-12
ATS
48%
14-15
59%
16-11
62%
18-11
56%
15-12
TTL
72%
21-8
74%
20-7
100%
29-0
100%
27-0
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