LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
11-15 | Road
78
LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
8-18 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
LEOPARDS
100%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
LEOPARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-51.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +51.0 points (Lehigh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LEH -51.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)
LEH By 1-7 points
0.0%
LEH By 8-14 points
0.0%
LAF By 1-7 points
0.0%
LAF By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Lehigh
122
LEHIGH
Lafayette
71
LAFAYETTE
Simulated Score
Lehigh
68
LEHIGH
Lafayette
74
LAFAYETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mountain Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Leopards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mountain Hawks (-1)
Win
Proj Spread: -51.0
D
Sim
Leopards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
LEH @ LAF
78 - 69
Jan 24, 2026
LAF @ LEH
59 - 64
Feb 22, 2025
LEH @ LAF
70 - 78
Jan 25, 2025
LAF @ LEH
47 - 86
Mar 7, 2024
LEH @ LAF
76 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+57.8% more
Lehigh: 3.9
vs
Lafayette: 1.6
Turnovers (L5)
+29.2% more
Lehigh: 12.6
vs
Lafayette: 8.9
Assists (L5)
+25.5% more
Lehigh: 16.6
vs
Lafayette: 12.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+18.3%
Lehigh: 40.0%
vs
Lafayette: 21.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEH Score
122.0
78
LAF Score
71.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
21.7 / 40.0
26.0 / 44.0
Assists
12.4 / 16.6
14.0 / 16.0
Blocks
1.6 / 3.9
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
37.6 / 51.8
50.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
61.4 / 67.4
74.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
37.3 / 31.3
28.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.5 / 5.9
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
8.9 / 12.6
13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
LAF
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
LAF
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAF
LEH
LAF
LEH
ML
53%
17-15
56%
19-15
59%
19-13
68%
23-11
ATS
56%
18-14
56%
19-15
59%
19-13
68%
23-11
TTL
50%
16-16
76%
26-8
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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