HIGH POINT
PANTHERSHPU
23-4 | Road
112
GARDNER-WEBB
RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB
3-23 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
PANTHERS
--
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
GARDNER-WEBB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GWEB +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GWEB)
HPU By 1-7 points
26.8%
HPU By 8-14 points
18.6%
GWEB By 1-7 points
23.0%
GWEB By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
High Point
74
HIGH POINT
Gardner-Webb
72
GARDNER-WEBB
Simulated Score
High Point
72
HIGH POINT
Gardner-Webb
75
GARDNER-WEBB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Runnin' Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Runnin' Bulldogs (+25.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Runnin' Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.0
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u162.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
GWEB @ HPU
59 - 81
Feb 14, 2026
HPU @ GWEB
112 - 87
Jan 7, 2026
GWEB @ HPU
49 - 104
Mar 7, 2025
GWEB @ HPU
64 - 85
Feb 22, 2025
HPU @ GWEB
90 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+60.3% more
High Point: 15.4
vs
Gardner-Webb: 6.1
Assists (L5)
+33.4% more
High Point: 14.9
vs
Gardner-Webb: 9.9
Blocks (L5)
+26.6% more
High Point: 3.2
vs
Gardner-Webb: 2.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+21.8%
High Point: 77.9%
vs
Gardner-Webb: 56.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HPU Score
74.0
112
GWEB Score
72.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 30.9
50.0 / 38.0
Assists
9.9 / 14.9
19.0 / 20.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.2
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 44.8
57.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
56.0 / 77.9
62.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
29.4 / 33.2
15.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.1 / 15.4
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 9.0
10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
GWEB
4-29-0
(12.1%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HPU
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
GWEB
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GWEB
HPU
GWEB
HPU
ML
73%
22-8
80%
28-7
63%
19-11
80%
28-7
ATS
73%
22-8
71%
25-10
63%
19-11
80%
28-7
TTL
53%
16-14
66%
23-12
100%
30-0
100%
35-0
