CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
BLUE DEVILSCCSU
14-10 | Road
63
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
10-16 | Home
57
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
100%
KNIGHTS
0%
BLUE DEVILS
--
KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Fairleigh Dickinson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FDU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FDU)
CCSU By 1-7 points
9.3%
CCSU By 8-14 points
2.7%
FDU By 1-7 points
21.6%
FDU By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Connecticut
56
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Fairleigh Dickinson
67
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Simulated Score
Central Connecticut
72
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Fairleigh Dickinson
75
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knights (+1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
CCSU @ FDU
63 - 57
Jan 23, 2026
FDU @ CCSU
76 - 66
Mar 8, 2025
FDU @ CCSU
72 - 76
Feb 6, 2025
FDU @ CCSU
66 - 87
Jan 18, 2025
CCSU @ FDU
71 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+10.8% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 35.8
vs
Central Connecticut: 32.3
Blocks (L5)
+46.1% more
Central Connecticut: 3.0
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 1.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+18.7%
Central Connecticut: 45.6%
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 26.9%
Assists (L5)
+10.5% more
Central Connecticut: 12.4
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score
56.0
63
FDU Score
67.0
57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.9 / 45.6
17.0 / 28.0
Assists
11.1 / 12.4
6.0 / 5.0
Blocks
1.6 / 3.0
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 52.1
31.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 78.2
83.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 32.3
38.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.3 / 5.3
2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 12.6
9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU
Advantage
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FDU
CCSU
FDU
CCSU
ML
65%
20-11
57%
17-13
74%
23-8
57%
17-13
ATS
68%
21-10
63%
19-11
74%
23-8
57%
17-13
TTL
58%
18-13
60%
18-12
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
Duke's Cameron Crazies Crowned Top Student Section for 2026-27
Duke Hosts Five-Star Asa Montgomery for Official Visit, Looking …
Rutgers Basketball Preseason: Standouts and Storylines from Tues…