SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
REDHAWKSSEMO
15-11 | Road
73
LINDENWOOD
LIONSLIN
16-10 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
LIONS
100%
REDHAWKS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Southeast Missouri State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SEMO -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEMO)
SEMO By 1-7 points
9.3%
SEMO By 8-14 points
20.1%
LIN By 1-7 points
2.2%
LIN By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Southeast Missouri State
90
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Lindenwood
71
LINDENWOOD
Simulated Score
Southeast Missouri State
71
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Lindenwood
74
LINDENWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks (-2)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
LIN @ SEMO
66 - 68
Feb 14, 2026
SEMO @ LIN
73 - 61
Jan 15, 2026
LIN @ SEMO
88 - 76
Feb 22, 2025
LIN @ SEMO
58 - 74
Jan 23, 2025
SEMO @ LIN
68 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.6% more
Southeast Missouri State: 4.7
vs
Lindenwood: 3.4
Assists (L5)
+47.6% more
Lindenwood: 15.2
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 10.3
Turnovers (L5)
+45.2% more
Lindenwood: 14.9
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 10.2
Steals (L5)
+30.8% more
Lindenwood: 8.5
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEMO Score
90.0
73
LIN Score
71.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 33.2
19.0 / 20.0
Assists
15.2 / 10.3
10.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.4 / 4.7
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 45.0
39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 66.5
56.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 32.6
32.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.5 / 6.5
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 10.2
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEMO
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
LIN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEMO
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
LIN
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SEMO
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -2.4
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIN
SEMO
LIN
SEMO
ML
47%
15-17
64%
21-12
61%
19-12
50%
15-15
ATS
34%
11-21
67%
22-11
61%
19-12
50%
15-15
TTL
53%
17-15
58%
19-14
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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