LIBERTY
FLAMESLIB
21-3 | Road
73
UTEP
MINERSUTEP
10-15 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
MINERS
100%
FLAMES
--
MINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
LIBERTY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Liberty)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIB -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIB)
LIB By 1-7 points
0.6%
LIB By 8-14 points
3.3%
UTEP By 1-7 points
0.1%
UTEP By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Liberty
85
LIBERTY
UTEP
53
UTEP
Simulated Score
Liberty
75
LIBERTY
UTEP
68
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Flames (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
LIB @ UTEP
73 - 64
Jan 17, 2026
UTEP @ LIB
69 - 80
Mar 12, 2025
UTEP @ LIB
60 - 81
Feb 15, 2025
LIB @ UTEP
76 - 69
Jan 16, 2025
UTEP @ LIB
72 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+27.0% more
Liberty: 17.4
vs
UTEP: 12.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Liberty: 50.5%
vs
UTEP: 42.0%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.1%
Liberty: 78.2%
vs
UTEP: 73.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Liberty: 38.3%
vs
UTEP: 36.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIB Score
85.0
73
UTEP Score
53.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 38.3
42.0 / 33.0
Assists
12.7 / 17.4
9.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.7
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 50.5
48.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 78.2
73.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
34.5 / 28.3
31.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.6 / 5.7
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 8.2
12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIB
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
UTEP
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIB
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
UTEP
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +4.2
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
LIB
UTEP
LIB
ML
70%
21-9
50%
17-17
72%
21-8
53%
18-16
ATS
57%
17-13
62%
21-13
73%
22-8
53%
18-16
TTL
60%
18-12
41%
14-20
100%
30-0
100%
34-0
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