Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Terriers BUCK @ BU

BUCKNELL

BISONBUCK

8-18  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 1:00 PM ET
Case Gym
View Odds Details →

BOSTON UNIVERSITY

TERRIERSBU

11-15  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
📊
TERRIERS
0%
BISON --
TERRIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Boston University)
BisonBUCK (-3.5) 0 TerriersBU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

0.0%

Terriers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BU -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)

BUCK By 1-7 points

0.0%

BUCK By 8-14 points

0.0%

BU By 1-7 points

0.1%

BU By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
50
BUCKNELL
87
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
65
BUCKNELL
68
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Terriers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Terriers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Terriers (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim Terriers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u139.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 BUCK @ BU 69 - 82
Jan 31, 2026 BU @ BUCK 97 - 103
Feb 12, 2025 BU @ BUCK 60 - 76
Jan 25, 2025 BUCK @ BU 82 - 85
Feb 10, 2024 BU @ BUCK 77 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +18.1% more
Boston University: 15.7 vs Bucknell: 13.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +17.2%
Boston University: 42.6% vs Bucknell: 25.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +14.5%
Boston University: 54.4% vs Bucknell: 40.0%
Steals (L5) +37.2% more
Bucknell: 7.4 vs Boston University: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score 50.0 69
BU Score 87.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.6 / 25.4 45.0 / 33.0
Assists 15.7 / 13.3 16.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.3 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 54.4 / 40.0 42.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 72.2 / 86.5 91.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 33.6 / 31.3 44.0 / 23.0
Steals 4.6 / 7.4 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 11.5 13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
BU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
BU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.3
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: +8.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BU
BUCK
BU
BUCK
ML
68% 23-11
55% 18-15
62% 21-13
64% 21-12
ATS
62% 21-13
45% 15-18
62% 21-13
64% 21-12
TTL
65% 22-12
61% 20-13
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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