FURMAN
PALADINSFUR
16-10 | Road
90
VMI
KEYDETSVMI
6-20 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
PALADINS
0%
KEYDETS
100%
PALADINS
--
KEYDETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+12.0
VMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VMI +12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VMI)
FUR By 1-7 points
20.1%
FUR By 8-14 points
27.2%
VMI By 1-7 points
8.0%
VMI By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Furman
77
FURMAN
VMI
65
VMI
Simulated Score
Furman
85
FURMAN
VMI
70
VMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Paladins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Paladins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Keydets (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +12.0
D
Sim
Paladins (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
FUR @ VMI
90 - 72
Jan 10, 2026
VMI @ FUR
48 - 69
Feb 22, 2025
VMI @ FUR
71 - 75
Jan 22, 2025
FUR @ VMI
82 - 91
Feb 14, 2024
VMI @ FUR
62 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+53.7% more
Furman: 4.0
vs
VMI: 1.8
Rebounding (L5)
+20.5% more
Furman: 35.7
vs
VMI: 28.4
Turnovers (L5)
+11.3% more
Furman: 11.9
vs
VMI: 10.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Furman: 45.1%
vs
VMI: 41.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FUR Score
77.0
90
VMI Score
65.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 31.3
30.0 / 34.0
Assists
13.6 / 14.4
14.0 / 21.0
Blocks
1.8 / 4.0
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.5 / 45.1
33.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 69.3
85.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
28.4 / 35.7
30.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.1 / 4.2
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 11.9
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FUR
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
VMI
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FUR
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
VMI
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
⚖️ Over/Under
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VMI
FUR
VMI
FUR
ML
53%
17-15
71%
25-10
84%
27-5
62%
21-13
ATS
50%
16-16
63%
22-13
84%
27-5
62%
21-13
TTL
62%
20-12
57%
20-15
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
