AI Model Win Probability
CARDINAL
0%
DEMON DEACONS
100%
CARDINAL
--
DEMON DEACONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
STANFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Stanford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STAN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STAN)
STAN By 1-7 points
24.3%
STAN By 8-14 points
26.8%
WAKE By 1-7 points
12.2%
WAKE By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Stanford
90
STANFORD
Wake Forest
81
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
Stanford
75
STANFORD
Wake Forest
82
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cardinal
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Demon Deacons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cardinal (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Demon Deacons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
STAN @ WAKE
63 - 68
Feb 5, 2025
WAKE @ STAN
79 - 73
Jan 15, 2025
STAN @ WAKE
67 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+20.4% more
Stanford: 8.4
vs
Wake Forest: 6.7
Turnovers (L5)
+17.3% more
Stanford: 10.8
vs
Wake Forest: 8.9
Blocks (L5)
+8.4% more
Stanford: 4.9
vs
Wake Forest: 4.5
Assists (L5)
+27.8% more
Wake Forest: 15.3
vs
Stanford: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STAN Score
90.0
63
WAKE Score
81.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 35.8
24.0 / 34.0
Assists
15.3 / 12.0
7.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.9
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 45.5
42.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 75.0
88.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
32.3 / 33.6
28.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.7 / 8.4
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.9 / 10.8
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STAN
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
WAKE
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STAN
Advantage
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
WAKE
16-18-1
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.9
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
STAN
WAKE
STAN
ML
49%
17-18
48%
16-17
61%
20-13
50%
16-16
ATS
66%
23-12
48%
16-17
61%
20-13
50%
16-16
TTL
60%
21-14
55%
18-15
100%
33-0
100%
32-0