Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Volunteers LSU @ TENN

LSU

TIGERSLSU

14-10  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 6:00 PM ET
Food City Center
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

VOLUNTEERSTENN

17-7  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
VOLUNTEERS
100%
TIGERS --
VOLUNTEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
191.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TigersLSU (-3.5) 0 VolunteersTENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

18.4%

Volunteers Cover

81.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TENN +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)

LSU By 1-7 points

24.3%

LSU By 8-14 points

26.8%

TENN By 1-7 points

12.2%

TENN By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
100
LSU
91
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
72
LSU
78
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Volunteers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Volunteers (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim Volunteers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 191.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 LSU @ TENN 63 - 73
Feb 25, 2025 TENN @ LSU 65 - 59
Feb 7, 2024 LSU @ TENN 68 - 88
Jan 21, 2023 TENN @ LSU 77 - 56
Jan 22, 2022 LSU @ TENN 50 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +79.7% more
Tennessee: 3.5 vs LSU: 2.0
Assists (L5) +29.0% more
Tennessee: 17.2 vs LSU: 13.4
Rebounding (L5) +23.2% more
Tennessee: 44.6 vs LSU: 36.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.2%
Tennessee: 34.7% vs LSU: 23.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LSU Score 100.0 63
TENN Score 91.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 23.4 38.0 / 35.0
Assists 17.2 / 13.4 17.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.5 / 2.0 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 40.5 46.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 73.8 / 72.4 74.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 44.6 / 36.2 45.0 / 24.0
Steals 7.1 / 6.5 2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 12.1 9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LSU
--
TENN Advantage
25-12-0 (67.6%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LSU
--
TENN Advantage
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LSU
--
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
LSU
TENN
LSU
ML
46% 17-20
62% 20-12
64% 21-12
62% 20-12
ATS
54% 20-17
66% 21-11
64% 21-12
62% 20-12
TTL
76% 28-9
72% 23-9
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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