COLORADO
BUFFALOESCOLO
14-11 | Road
86
BYU
COUGARSBYU
18-6 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
BUFFALOES
100%
COUGARS
0%
BUFFALOES
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (BYU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BYU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
COLO By 1-7 points
21.6%
COLO By 8-14 points
10.7%
BYU By 1-7 points
27.2%
BYU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
63
COLORADO
BYU
66
BYU
Simulated Score
Colorado
72
COLORADO
BYU
75
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
COLO @ BYU
86 - 90
Jan 21, 2025
BYU @ COLO
83 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+71.0% more
BYU: 4.3
vs
Colorado: 2.5
Rebounding (L5)
+10.8% more
BYU: 35.5
vs
Colorado: 32.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
BYU: 48.3%
vs
Colorado: 41.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.3%
BYU: 71.7%
vs
Colorado: 65.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLO Score
63.0
86
BYU Score
66.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.8 / 31.8
50.0 / 28.0
Assists
12.4 / 11.8
16.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.5
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 41.1
47.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
71.7 / 65.4
78.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 32.1
46.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.9 / 5.6
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.3 / 11.6
16.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLO
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
BYU
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLO
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +4.8
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
COLO
BYU
COLO
ML
60%
21-14
61%
20-13
72%
23-9
69%
22-10
ATS
54%
19-16
73%
24-9
72%
23-9
69%
22-10
TTL
69%
24-11
45%
15-18
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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