TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
15-9 | Road
85
MISSOURI
TIGERSMIZ
17-7 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
LONGHORNS
100%
TIGERS
0%
LONGHORNS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
MISSOURI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Missouri)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIZ -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIZ)
TEX By 1-7 points
0.6%
TEX By 8-14 points
0.1%
MIZ By 1-7 points
4.0%
MIZ By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
53
TEXAS
Missouri
77
MISSOURI
Simulated Score
Texas
68
TEXAS
Missouri
75
MISSOURI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
TEX @ MIZ
85 - 68
Jan 21, 2025
MIZ @ TEX
53 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+141.2% more
Missouri: 4.3
vs
Texas: 1.8
Assists (L5)
+31.5% more
Missouri: 16.2
vs
Texas: 12.3
Rebounding (L5)
+13.4% more
Missouri: 39.7
vs
Texas: 35.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.0%
Texas: 81.2%
vs
Missouri: 65.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
53.0
85
MIZ Score
77.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 34.8
40.0 / 35.0
Assists
16.2 / 12.3
7.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.3 / 1.8
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 51.2
42.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
65.2 / 81.2
68.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
39.7 / 35.0
26.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.0 / 5.5
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 11.0
9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
MIZ
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.8
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
MIZ
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 3.8
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIZ
TEX
MIZ
TEX
ML
61%
20-13
58%
21-15
69%
22-10
56%
19-15
ATS
70%
23-10
56%
20-16
69%
22-10
56%
19-15
TTL
79%
26-7
64%
23-13
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Colorado Buffaloes Playbook Left in Hotel Bar, Found by Texas Te…
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…