AI Model Win Probability
RATTLERS
100%
TIGERS
0%
RATTLERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
JACKSON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Jackson State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JKST -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JKST)
FAMU By 1-7 points
0.0%
FAMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
JKST By 1-7 points
0.4%
JKST By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida A&M
54
FLORIDA A&M
Jackson State
88
JACKSON STATE
Simulated Score
Florida A&M
65
FLORIDA A&M
Jackson State
78
JACKSON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
JKST @ FAMU
60 - 70
Feb 14, 2026
FAMU @ JKST
60 - 80
Jan 26, 2026
JKST @ FAMU
66 - 65
Mar 12, 2025
FAMU @ JKST
76 - 91
Feb 15, 2025
JKST @ FAMU
71 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+19.6% more
Jackson State: 3.4
vs
Florida A&M: 2.8
Rebounding (L5)
+8.9% more
Jackson State: 40.3
vs
Florida A&M: 37.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.3%
Jackson State: 75.0%
vs
Florida A&M: 68.6%
Steals (L5)
+54.9% more
Florida A&M: 9.6
vs
Jackson State: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score
54.0
60
JKST Score
88.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 45.7
31.0 / 20.0
Assists
10.8 / 13.1
15.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.8
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
39.6 / 45.4
48.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 68.6
79.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 37.0
41.0 / 28.0
Steals
4.4 / 9.6
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 17.9
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
JKST
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -13.5
ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
JKST
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -13.5
ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JKST
FAMU
JKST
FAMU
ML
77%
24-7
55%
16-13
73%
19-7
71%
17-7
ATS
77%
24-7
48%
14-15
73%
19-7
71%
17-7
TTL
58%
18-13
76%
22-7
100%
26-0
100%
24-0