Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Panthers LT @ FIU

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

14-10  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 2:00 PM ET
Ocean Bank Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PANTHERSFIU

11-13  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
BULLDOGS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Florida International)
BulldogsLT (-3.5) 0 PanthersFIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

0.0%

Panthers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FIU -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)

LT By 1-7 points

0.0%

LT By 8-14 points

0.0%

FIU By 1-7 points

0.4%

FIU By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
55
LOUISIANA TECH
89
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
68
LOUISIANA TECH
75
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 FIU @ LT 84 - 76
Feb 14, 2026 LT @ FIU 64 - 77
Feb 8, 2025 LT @ FIU 82 - 71
Jan 9, 2025 FIU @ LT 64 - 81
Feb 17, 2024 FIU @ LT 68 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +14.0% more
Florida International: 8.5 vs Louisiana Tech: 7.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.3%
Florida International: 32.8% vs Louisiana Tech: 23.4%
Free Throw % (L5) +6.5%
Florida International: 74.3% vs Louisiana Tech: 67.8%
Blocks (L5) +58.1% more
Louisiana Tech: 7.1 vs Florida International: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LT Score 55.0 64
FIU Score 89.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 23.4 45.0 / 32.0
Assists 12.6 / 12.4 10.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.0 / 7.1 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 42.8 47.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 74.3 / 67.8 61.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 37.0 / 41.1 40.0 / 24.0
Steals 8.5 / 7.5 10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 14.8 16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
FIU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
FIU
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
LT
FIU
LT
ML
58% 18-13
58% 19-14
65% 20-11
72% 23-9
ATS
52% 16-15
61% 20-13
65% 20-11
72% 23-9
TTL
65% 20-11
61% 20-13
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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