Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bruins @ Wolverines UCLA @ MICH

UCLA

BRUINSUCLA

17-7  |  Road

56
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 12:45 PM ET
Crisler Center
View Odds Details →

MICHIGAN

WOLVERINESMICH

23-1  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
BRUINS --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Michigan)
BruinsUCLA (-3.5) 0 WolverinesMICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

24.2%

Wolverines Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MICH -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)

UCLA By 1-7 points

15.3%

UCLA By 8-14 points

5.8%

MICH By 1-7 points

26.2%

MICH By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
58
UCLA
65
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
69
UCLA
78
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 UCLA @ MICH 56 - 86
Jan 7, 2025 MICH @ UCLA 94 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +216.0% more
Michigan: 6.7 vs UCLA: 2.1
Turnovers (L5) +73.6% more
Michigan: 11.3 vs UCLA: 6.5
Assists (L5) +28.7% more
Michigan: 20.5 vs UCLA: 15.9
Rebounding (L5) +23.7% more
Michigan: 42.6 vs UCLA: 34.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCLA Score 58.0 56
MICH Score 65.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.9 / 43.7 37.0 / 29.0
Assists 20.5 / 15.9 18.0 / 7.0
Blocks 6.7 / 2.1 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 45.4 62.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 78.7 / 81.2 65.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 42.6 / 34.5 30.0 / 29.0
Steals 4.4 / 5.4 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 6.5 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCLA
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
MICH Advantage
37-3-0 (92.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCLA Advantage
17-18-1 (48.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
MICH
19-21-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +2.5
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
UCLA
MICH
UCLA
ML
78% 31-9
67% 24-12
63% 24-14
76% 25-8
ATS
78% 31-9
61% 22-14
63% 24-14
76% 25-8
TTL
57% 23-17
61% 22-14
100% 38-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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