Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Blue Devils CLEM @ DUKE

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

20-5  |  Road

54
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 12:00 PM ET
Cameron Indoor Stadium
View Odds Details →

DUKE

BLUE DEVILSDUKE

22-2  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
BLUE DEVILS
100%
TIGERS --
BLUE DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+12.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TigersCLEM (-3.5) 0 Blue DevilsDUKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

11.5%

Blue Devils Cover

88.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DUKE +12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)

CLEM By 1-7 points

20.1%

CLEM By 8-14 points

27.2%

DUKE By 1-7 points

8.0%

DUKE By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
68
CLEMSON
56
DUKE
Simulated Score
72
CLEMSON
78
DUKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: +12.0
D
Sim Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u132.5 Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim u132.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 CLEM @ DUKE 61 - 73
Feb 14, 2026 CLEM @ DUKE 54 - 67
Feb 8, 2025 DUKE @ CLEM 71 - 77
Jan 27, 2024 CLEM @ DUKE 71 - 72
Jan 14, 2023 DUKE @ CLEM 64 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +40.1% more
Clemson: 3.0 vs Duke: 1.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Clemson: 37.7% vs Duke: 34.3%
Assists (L5) +47.1% more
Duke: 15.2 vs Clemson: 10.3
Rebounding (L5) +25.5% more
Duke: 37.4 vs Clemson: 29.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLEM Score 68.0 54
DUKE Score 56.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 37.7 34.0 / 25.0
Assists 15.2 / 10.3 15.0 / 10.0
Blocks 1.8 / 3.0 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.7 / 47.9 43.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 71.3 / 67.1 73.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 29.8 37.0 / 32.0
Steals 7.2 / 6.0 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 10.2 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLEM
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
DUKE Advantage
35-3-0 (92.1%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLEM
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
DUKE Advantage
20-18-0 (52.6%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUKE
CLEM
DUKE
CLEM
ML
71% 27-11
63% 22-13
73% 24-9
72% 23-9
ATS
79% 30-8
71% 25-10
73% 24-9
72% 23-9
TTL
47% 18-20
69% 24-11
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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