BROWN
BEARSBRWN
7-14 | Road
53
HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
13-9 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
0%
CRIMSON
100%
BEARS
--
CRIMSON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BROWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Brown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BRWN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRWN)
BRWN By 1-7 points
24.3%
BRWN By 8-14 points
26.8%
HARV By 1-7 points
12.2%
HARV By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Brown
80
BROWN
Harvard
71
HARVARD
Simulated Score
Brown
68
BROWN
Harvard
72
HARVARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bears
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bears (-8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Crimson (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o131.5
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 13, 2026
BRWN @ HARV
53 - 56
Jan 30, 2026
HARV @ BRWN
69 - 59
Feb 28, 2025
BRWN @ HARV
59 - 52
Jan 18, 2025
HARV @ BRWN
80 - 67
Mar 1, 2024
HARV @ BRWN
68 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+18.4% more
Brown: 6.8
vs
Harvard: 5.6
Turnovers (L5)
+13.6% more
Brown: 11.1
vs
Harvard: 9.6
Blocks (L5)
+47.8% more
Harvard: 4.4
vs
Brown: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.5%
Harvard: 84.5%
vs
Brown: 76.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRWN Score
80.0
53
HARV Score
71.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 29.1
32.0 / 11.0
Assists
15.2 / 15.0
10.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.0
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 41.5
39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
84.5 / 76.0
61.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
31.9 / 33.8
34.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.6 / 6.8
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 11.1
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRWN
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
HARV
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HARV
BRWN
HARV
BRWN
ML
45%
13-16
56%
15-12
52%
15-14
67%
18-9
ATS
45%
13-16
59%
16-11
52%
15-14
67%
18-9
TTL
41%
12-17
59%
16-11
100%
29-0
100%
27-0
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