WINTHROP
EAGLESWIN
18-8 | Road
103
GARDNER-WEBB
RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB
3-22 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
EAGLES
--
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+8.0
GARDNER-WEBB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GWEB +8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GWEB)
WIN By 1-7 points
25.3%
WIN By 8-14 points
26.2%
GWEB By 1-7 points
13.7%
GWEB By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Winthrop
72
WINTHROP
Gardner-Webb
64
GARDNER-WEBB
Simulated Score
Winthrop
70
WINTHROP
Gardner-Webb
78
GARDNER-WEBB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Runnin' Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Runnin' Bulldogs (+20.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +8.0
D
Sim
Runnin' Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.0
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u155.0
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
WIN @ GWEB
103 - 85
Jan 3, 2026
GWEB @ WIN
77 - 88
Feb 1, 2025
GWEB @ WIN
93 - 96
Jan 8, 2025
WIN @ GWEB
83 - 89
Mar 2, 2024
GWEB @ WIN
65 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+39.2% more
Winthrop: 14.6
vs
Gardner-Webb: 8.9
Blocks (L5)
+25.4% more
Winthrop: 2.0
vs
Gardner-Webb: 1.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+25.4%
Winthrop: 77.9%
vs
Gardner-Webb: 52.6%
Steals (L5)
+21.6% more
Winthrop: 7.2
vs
Gardner-Webb: 5.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIN Score
72.0
103
GWEB Score
64.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 29.8
41.0 / 51.0
Assists
8.9 / 14.6
12.0 / 25.0
Blocks
1.5 / 2.0
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 42.6
51.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
52.6 / 77.9
63.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
29.5 / 36.0
29.0 / 42.0
Steals
5.7 / 7.2
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 11.7
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIN
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
GWEB
4-29-0
(12.1%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIN
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
GWEB
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GWEB
WIN
GWEB
WIN
ML
73%
22-8
70%
23-10
63%
19-11
79%
26-7
ATS
73%
22-8
79%
26-7
63%
19-11
79%
26-7
TTL
53%
16-14
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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