HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
16-9 | Road
66
CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
16-9 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
0%
COUGARS
100%
PRIDE
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
HOF By 1-7 points
16.9%
HOF By 8-14 points
26.2%
COFC By 1-7 points
5.8%
COFC By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Hofstra
70
HOFSTRA
Charleston
56
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
Hofstra
68
HOFSTRA
Charleston
70
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pride (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
HOF @ COFC
66 - 62
Jan 29, 2026
COFC @ HOF
66 - 64
Jan 9, 2025
COFC @ HOF
67 - 61
Mar 2, 2024
HOF @ COFC
76 - 87
Jan 4, 2024
COFC @ HOF
73 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+21.2% more
Hofstra: 15.0
vs
Charleston: 11.8
Blocks (L5)
+14.3% more
Hofstra: 4.6
vs
Charleston: 3.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.5%
Hofstra: 40.0%
vs
Charleston: 26.5%
Rebounding (L5)
+10.8% more
Hofstra: 41.4
vs
Charleston: 36.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOF Score
70.0
66
COFC Score
56.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.5 / 40.0
33.0 / 21.0
Assists
11.8 / 15.0
13.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.6
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 44.5
32.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 74.5
84.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 41.4
36.0 / 46.0
Steals
5.4 / 4.4
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 10.4
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
COFC
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
COFC
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
HOF
COFC
HOF
ML
66%
19-10
77%
27-8
62%
18-11
71%
25-10
ATS
59%
17-12
83%
29-6
62%
18-11
71%
25-10
TTL
68%
19-9-1
51%
18-17
100%
29-0
100%
35-0
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