AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
100%
BUCCANEERS
0%
BLUE HOSE
--
BUCCANEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Charleston Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHSO -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)
PRES By 1-7 points
0.0%
PRES By 8-14 points
0.0%
CHSO By 1-7 points
0.0%
CHSO By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Presbyterian
43
PRESBYTERIAN
Charleston Southern
86
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Presbyterian
66
PRESBYTERIAN
Charleston Southern
75
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buccaneers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Buccaneers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
PRES @ CHSO
67 - 84
Jan 21, 2026
CHSO @ PRES
83 - 87
Feb 12, 2025
PRES @ CHSO
70 - 71
Jan 22, 2025
CHSO @ PRES
61 - 71
Mar 2, 2024
CHSO @ PRES
65 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.2% more
Charleston Southern: 7.6
vs
Presbyterian: 5.9
Turnovers (L5)
+27.4% more
Charleston Southern: 19.0
vs
Presbyterian: 14.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Presbyterian: 50.0%
vs
Charleston Southern: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRES Score
43.0
67
CHSO Score
86.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 31.3
38.0 / 20.0
Assists
12.8 / 13.4
23.0 / 7.0
Blocks
7.6 / 5.9
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 50.0
55.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 73.3
71.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
40.5 / 38.8
37.0 / 27.0
Steals
4.5 / 4.4
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
19.0 / 14.9
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
CHSO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
CHSO
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
PRES
CHSO
PRES
ML
43%
13-17
69%
22-10
67%
20-10
80%
24-6
ATS
50%
15-15
59%
19-13
68%
21-10
80%
24-6
TTL
50%
15-15
59%
19-13
100%
31-0
100%
30-0