CAL STATE FULLERTON
TITANSCSUF
12-13 | Road
86
LONG BEACH STATE
BEACHLBSU
8-16 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
0%
BEACH
100%
TITANS
--
BEACH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Cal State Fullerton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CSUF -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUF)
CSUF By 1-7 points
27.4%
CSUF By 8-14 points
21.6%
LBSU By 1-7 points
20.1%
LBSU By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cal State Fullerton
85
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Long Beach State
81
LONG BEACH STATE
Simulated Score
Cal State Fullerton
70
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Long Beach State
73
LONG BEACH STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Beach
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Titans (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Beach (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
CSUF @ LBSU
86 - 82
Jan 22, 2026
LBSU @ CSUF
61 - 71
Jan 18, 2025
CSUF @ LBSU
83 - 67
Dec 5, 2024
LBSU @ CSUF
73 - 56
Feb 29, 2024
CSUF @ LBSU
76 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.3% more
Cal State Fullerton: 4.0
vs
Long Beach State: 2.0
Rebounding (L5)
+15.5% more
Cal State Fullerton: 36.9
vs
Long Beach State: 31.2
Assists (L5)
+12.3% more
Cal State Fullerton: 14.8
vs
Long Beach State: 12.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.4%
Long Beach State: 78.7%
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 75.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CSUF Score
85.0
86
LBSU Score
81.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 33.9
32.0 / 35.0
Assists
12.9 / 14.8
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.0 / 4.0
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 43.5
56.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
78.7 / 75.3
74.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
31.2 / 36.9
27.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.8
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 11.7
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUF
Advantage
18-16-0
(52.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
LBSU
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -2.9
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUF
Advantage
19-11-2
(63.3%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
LBSU
16-13-1
(55.2%)
Margin: -2.9
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: +0.6
LBSU
19-10-1
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LBSU
CSUF
LBSU
CSUF
ML
55%
17-14
68%
23-11
65%
20-11
76%
26-8
ATS
68%
21-10
68%
23-11
65%
20-11
76%
26-8
TTL
61%
19-12
59%
20-14
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
