Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chanticleers @ Ragin' Cajuns CCU @ UL

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

15-11  |  Road

69
FINAL
Thu, Feb 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Cajundome
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA

RAGIN' CAJUNSUL

9-16  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
100%
📊
RAGIN' CAJUNS
0%
CHANTICLEERS --
RAGIN' CAJUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
LOUISIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Louisiana)
ChanticleersCCU (-3.5) 0 Ragin' CajunsUL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chanticleers Cover

0.0%

Ragin' Cajuns Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UL -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UL)

CCU By 1-7 points

0.0%

CCU By 8-14 points

0.0%

UL By 1-7 points

0.0%

UL By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
52
COASTAL CAROLINA
97
LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
68
COASTAL CAROLINA
72
LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ragin' Cajuns Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ragin' Cajuns (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o132.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u132.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 12, 2026 CCU @ UL 69 - 65
Jan 2, 2025 UL @ CCU 71 - 68
Mar 7, 2024 CCU @ UL 66 - 80
Jan 6, 2024 CCU @ UL 77 - 85
Dec 29, 2022 UL @ CCU 76 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +21.0% more
Louisiana: 5.8 vs Coastal Carolina: 4.8
Free Throw % (L5) +18.5%
Louisiana: 80.4% vs Coastal Carolina: 61.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
Louisiana: 44.3% vs Coastal Carolina: 40.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
Louisiana: 46.1% vs Coastal Carolina: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 52.0 69
UL Score 97.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.3 / 40.5 25.0 / 47.0
Assists 13.5 / 13.4 6.0 / 2.0
Blocks 2.1 / 3.4 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 43.0 36.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 80.4 / 61.8 80.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 30.3 / 42.1 28.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.8 / 4.8 7.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 11.9 10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
UL
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
UL
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UL
CCU
UL
CCU
ML
66% 21-11
41% 13-19
63% 19-11
55% 17-14
ATS
66% 21-11
38% 12-20
63% 19-11
55% 17-14
TTL
62% 20-12
75% 24-8
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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