Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonials @ Vikings RMU @ CLE

ROBERT MORRIS

COLONIALSRMU

16-10  |  Road

85
FINAL
Thu, Feb 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Wolstein Center
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

10-15  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
100%
📊
VIKINGS
0%
COLONIALS --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
CLEVELAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Cleveland State)
ColonialsRMU (-3.5) 0 VikingsCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonials Cover

15.9%

Vikings Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

RMU By 1-7 points

10.7%

RMU By 8-14 points

3.3%

CLE By 1-7 points

23.0%

CLE By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
83
ROBERT MORRIS
93
CLEVELAND STATE
Simulated Score
68
ROBERT MORRIS
75
CLEVELAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Vikings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vikings Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Vikings (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Vikings (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 CLE @ RMU 64 - 83
Feb 12, 2026 RMU @ CLE 85 - 68
Feb 12, 2025 RMU @ CLE 68 - 59
Jan 8, 2025 CLE @ RMU 80 - 69
Feb 25, 2024 CLE @ RMU 73 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +39.9% more
Cleveland State: 6.9 vs Robert Morris: 4.9
Free Throw % (L5) +7.5%
Cleveland State: 77.1% vs Robert Morris: 69.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Robert Morris: 40.9% vs Cleveland State: 36.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
Robert Morris: 47.7% vs Cleveland State: 45.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RMU Score 83.0 85
CLE Score 93.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.9 / 40.9 31.0 / 38.0
Assists 17.6 / 16.9 13.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.7 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 47.7 42.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 77.1 / 69.6 82.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 33.8 / 36.7 23.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.9 / 4.9 3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 13.0 8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU Advantage
19-11-1 (63.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
CLE
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.1
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
RMU
CLE
RMU
ML
52% 17-16
36% 12-21
64% 21-12
56% 18-14
ATS
64% 21-12
55% 18-15
64% 21-12
56% 18-14
TTL
52% 17-16
55% 18-15
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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