Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Eagles TNTC @ MORE

TENNESSEE TECH

GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC

10-15  |  Road

66
FINAL
Thu, Feb 12 • 7:30 PM ET
Ellis T. Johnson Arena
View Odds Details →

MOREHEAD STATE

EAGLESMORE

13-12  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
MOREHEAD STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Morehead State)
Golden EaglesTNTC (-3.5) 0 EaglesMORE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

0.2%

Eagles Cover

99.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MORE -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MORE)

TNTC By 1-7 points

0.1%

TNTC By 8-14 points

0.0%

MORE By 1-7 points

1.4%

MORE By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
58
TENNESSEE TECH
87
MOREHEAD STATE
Simulated Score
62
TENNESSEE TECH
75
MOREHEAD STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 12, 2026 TNTC @ MORE 66 - 73
Jan 17, 2026 MORE @ TNTC 76 - 70
Jan 30, 2025 TNTC @ MORE 72 - 64
Jan 4, 2025 MORE @ TNTC 55 - 74
Feb 3, 2024 MORE @ TNTC 67 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +71.0% more
Morehead State: 2.7 vs Tennessee Tech: 1.6
Steals (L5) +50.3% more
Morehead State: 6.7 vs Tennessee Tech: 4.5
Turnovers (L5) +18.7% more
Tennessee Tech: 14.7 vs Morehead State: 12.0
Assists (L5) +16.3% more
Tennessee Tech: 13.0 vs Morehead State: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TNTC Score 58.0 66
MORE Score 87.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 36.6 29.0 / 24.0
Assists 10.8 / 13.0 15.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.7 / 1.6 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 46.3 49.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 80.3 / 78.9 83.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 34.8 34.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.7 / 4.5 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 14.7 9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TNTC
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
MORE Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TNTC
14-14-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
MORE Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
MORE
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MORE
TNTC
MORE
TNTC
ML
62% 20-12
50% 15-15
68% 21-10
65% 15-8
ATS
59% 19-13
50% 15-15
68% 21-10
65% 15-8
TTL
53% 17-15
57% 17-13
100% 31-0
100% 23-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Week 7 High School Football Picks: Mater Dei Faces JSerra, Chami…
si 1 day, 18 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days ago
Calipari Drops Stunner: Nine Arkansas Players Outearn Assistant …
yahoo 6 days, 23 hours ago
Isaiah Marshall's Rocky Start: Kansas QB Shows Flashes but Seeks…
si 1 week, 1 day ago