Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolverines @ Trailblazers UVU @ UTU

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

18-6  |  Road

77
FINAL
Thu, Feb 12 • 9:00 PM ET
Burns Arena
View Odds Details →

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

14-11  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVERINES
0%
📊
TRAILBLAZERS
100%
WOLVERINES --
TRAILBLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Utah Valley)
WolverinesUVU (-3.5) 0 TrailblazersUTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolverines Cover

98.2%

Trailblazers Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)

UVU By 1-7 points

6.8%

UVU By 8-14 points

16.9%

UTU By 1-7 points

1.4%

UTU By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
74
UTAH VALLEY
53
UTAH TECH
Simulated Score
70
UTAH VALLEY
75
UTAH TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wolverines Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trailblazers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wolverines (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Trailblazers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 UVU @ UTU 104 - 101
Feb 12, 2026 UVU @ UTU 77 - 81
Jan 10, 2026 UTU @ UVU 76 - 92
Mar 12, 2025 UTU @ UVU 57 - 74
Feb 20, 2025 UVU @ UTU 79 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +37.6% more
Utah Valley: 11.6 vs Utah Tech: 7.3
Assists (L5) +27.3% more
Utah Valley: 18.0 vs Utah Tech: 13.1
Blocks (L5) +24.2% more
Utah Valley: 5.5 vs Utah Tech: 4.1
Turnovers (L5) +20.0% more
Utah Valley: 14.6 vs Utah Tech: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVU Score 74.0 77
UTU Score 53.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.3 / 37.8 47.0 / 23.0
Assists 13.1 / 18.0 14.0 / 18.0
Blocks 4.1 / 5.5 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.6 / 50.1 54.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 65.2 / 76.2 63.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 35.2 / 31.6 31.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.3 / 11.6 10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 14.6 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
UTU
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTU
UVU
UTU
UVU
ML
68% 23-11
56% 18-14
62% 21-13
72% 23-9
ATS
65% 22-12
53% 17-15
62% 21-13
74% 25-9
TTL
65% 22-12
44% 14-18
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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