MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
21-30 | Road
116
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
28-24 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
MAGIC
0%
BUCKS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
MIL By 1-7 points
13.7%
MIL By 8-14 points
4.8%
ORL By 1-7 points
25.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
101
MILWAUKEE
Orlando
109
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
108
MILWAUKEE
Orlando
115
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u220.5
Loss
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim
u220.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
ORL @ MIL
130 - 91
Feb 11, 2026
MIL @ ORL
116 - 108
Feb 9, 2026
MIL @ ORL
99 - 118
Mar 8, 2025
ORL @ MIL
111 - 109
Jan 15, 2025
ORL @ MIL
93 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+117.5% more
Orlando: 12.4
vs
Milwaukee: 5.7
Blocks (L5)
+31.0% more
Orlando: 5.3
vs
Milwaukee: 4.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.6%
Orlando: 85.7%
vs
Milwaukee: 70.1%
Assists (L5)
+9.0% more
Orlando: 26.8
vs
Milwaukee: 24.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
101.0
116
ORL Score
109.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 37.8
43.0 / 39.0
Assists
26.8 / 24.6
31.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.3 / 4.1
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 48.3
43.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
85.7 / 70.1
86.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 42.6
30.0 / 47.0
Steals
12.4 / 5.7
12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 15.2
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
MIL
ORL
MIL
ML
61%
65-42
64%
61-35
56%
51-40
60%
49-32
ATS
64%
68-38-1
68%
65-31
56%
51-40
60%
49-32
TTL
57%
61-46
55%
53-43
100%
91-0
100%
81-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…