PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
26-28 | Road
109
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
33-22 | Home
133
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
246.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
POR By 1-7 points
26.8%
POR By 8-14 points
18.6%
MIN By 1-7 points
23.0%
MIN By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
124
PORTLAND
Minnesota
122
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Portland
105
PORTLAND
Minnesota
118
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (+7)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o236.0
Win
Proj Total: 246.0
D
Sim
u236.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
POR @ MIN
108 - 104
Feb 24, 2026
MIN @ POR
124 - 121
Feb 11, 2026
POR @ MIN
109 - 133
Oct 22, 2025
MIN @ POR
118 - 114
Feb 8, 2025
POR @ MIN
98 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+17.4% more
Portland: 18.1
vs
Minnesota: 14.9
Assists (L5)
+13.1% more
Portland: 30.7
vs
Minnesota: 26.7
Rebounding (L5)
+11.4% more
Portland: 48.6
vs
Minnesota: 43.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.9%
Portland: 74.9%
vs
Minnesota: 66.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
124.0
109
MIN Score
122.0
133
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 38.4
41.0 / 36.0
Assists
26.7 / 30.7
26.0 / 23.0
Blocks
6.3 / 5.5
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.0 / 48.1
52.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
66.0 / 74.9
83.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
43.0 / 48.6
43.0 / 50.0
Steals
8.7 / 7.9
14.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 18.1
15.0 / 26.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
POR
MIN
POR
ML
54%
63-53
53%
56-49
54%
50-43
55%
49-40
ATS
58%
67-49
62%
65-39-1
54%
50-43
55%
49-40
TTL
63%
72-43-1
56%
58-46-1
100%
93-0
100%
89-0
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