Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Greyhounds @ Leopards L-MD @ LAF

LOYOLA MARYLAND

GREYHOUNDSL-MD

9-16  |  Road

68
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Kirby Sports Center
View Odds Details →

LAFAYETTE

LEOPARDSLAF

8-17  |  Home

54
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
100%
📊
LEOPARDS
0%
GREYHOUNDS --
LEOPARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
173.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
LAFAYETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Lafayette)
GreyhoundsL-MD (-3.5) 0 LeopardsLAF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Greyhounds Cover

13.6%

Leopards Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAF -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAF)

L-MD By 1-7 points

9.3%

L-MD By 8-14 points

2.7%

LAF By 1-7 points

21.6%

LAF By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
81
LOYOLA MARYLAND
92
LAFAYETTE
Simulated Score
67
LOYOLA MARYLAND
73
LAFAYETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Leopards Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Leopards Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Leopards (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Leopards (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 173.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 L-MD @ LAF 68 - 54
Jan 3, 2026 LAF @ L-MD 79 - 64
Feb 5, 2025 L-MD @ LAF 71 - 58
Jan 22, 2025 LAF @ L-MD 80 - 59
Feb 14, 2024 L-MD @ LAF 79 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +19.7% more
Lafayette: 13.1 vs Loyola Maryland: 10.9
Turnovers (L5) +11.1% more
Lafayette: 11.3 vs Loyola Maryland: 10.2
Rebounding (L5) +10.1% more
Lafayette: 35.5 vs Loyola Maryland: 32.2
Blocks (L5) +36.5% more
Loyola Maryland: 3.9 vs Lafayette: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score 81.0 68
LAF Score 92.0 54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.5 / 30.9 12.0 / 34.0
Assists 13.1 / 10.9 11.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.5 / 3.9 0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 39.8 / 42.6 33.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 72.1 / 74.1 40.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 35.5 / 32.2 41.0 / 42.0
Steals 6.7 / 8.6 6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 10.2 4.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
LAF
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
LAF
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +4.5
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAF
L-MD
LAF
L-MD
ML
53% 17-15
53% 17-15
59% 19-13
66% 21-11
ATS
56% 18-14
56% 18-14
59% 19-13
66% 21-11
TTL
50% 16-16
44% 14-18
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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