Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Tigers LMU @ PAC

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT

LIONSLMU

13-13  |  Road

59
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 10:00 PM ET
Alex G. Spanos Center
View Odds Details →

PACIFIC

TIGERSPAC

16-10  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
LIONS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
PACIFIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Pacific)
LionsLMU (-3.5) 0 TigersPAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

38.2%

Tigers Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PAC -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PAC)

LMU By 1-7 points

21.6%

LMU By 8-14 points

10.7%

PAC By 1-7 points

27.2%

PAC By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
65
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
68
PACIFIC
Simulated Score
68
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
72
PACIFIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 LMU @ PAC 59 - 65
Dec 30, 2025 PAC @ LMU 71 - 80
Feb 13, 2025 PAC @ LMU 83 - 58
Jan 23, 2025 LMU @ PAC 73 - 68
Feb 24, 2024 LMU @ PAC 86 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +48.3% more
Pacific: 17.3 vs Loyola Marymount: 11.7
Steals (L5) +33.9% more
Pacific: 6.2 vs Loyola Marymount: 4.7
Rebounding (L5) +16.4% more
Pacific: 39.3 vs Loyola Marymount: 33.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.6%
Pacific: 43.9% vs Loyola Marymount: 30.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LMU Score 65.0 59
PAC Score 68.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.9 / 30.2 27.0 / 26.0
Assists 17.3 / 11.7 16.0 / 4.0
Blocks 1.7 / 3.3 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 49.1 / 48.0 47.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 74.9 / 74.4 70.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 39.3 / 33.7 36.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.2 / 4.7 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 11.8 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LMU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
PAC Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LMU
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
PAC Advantage
16-14-1 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.9
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5% Total +/-: -2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PAC
LMU
PAC
LMU
ML
45% 15-18
53% 17-15
80% 24-6
50% 16-16
ATS
55% 18-15
47% 15-17
80% 24-6
50% 16-16
TTL
58% 19-14
62% 20-12
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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