Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Aggies MIZ @ TA&M

MISSOURI

TIGERSMIZ

16-7  |  Road

86
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 9:00 PM ET
Reed Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS A&M

AGGIESTA&M

17-6  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
AGGIES
0%
TIGERS --
AGGIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Texas A&M)
TigersMIZ (-3.5) 0 AggiesTA&M (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

0.0%

Aggies Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TA&M -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)

MIZ By 1-7 points

0.0%

MIZ By 8-14 points

0.0%

TA&M By 1-7 points

0.3%

TA&M By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
70
MISSOURI
105
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
70
MISSOURI
72
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Aggies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Aggies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Aggies (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim Aggies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o159.0 Win
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim u159.0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 MIZ @ TA&M 86 - 85
Feb 8, 2025 TA&M @ MIZ 67 - 64
Feb 7, 2024 TA&M @ MIZ 79 - 60
Jan 23, 2024 MIZ @ TA&M 57 - 63
Feb 18, 2023 TA&M @ MIZ 69 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +34.5% more
Texas A&M: 6.8 vs Missouri: 5.1
Assists (L5) +28.8% more
Texas A&M: 17.8 vs Missouri: 13.8
Free Throw % (L5) +10.9%
Texas A&M: 78.7% vs Missouri: 67.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Texas A&M: 35.0% vs Missouri: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIZ Score 70.0 86
TA&M Score 105.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.0 / 32.4 45.0 / 33.0
Assists 17.8 / 13.8 20.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.9 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.4 / 44.1 50.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 78.7 / 67.8 80.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 40.0 / 40.0 26.0 / 39.0
Steals 6.8 / 5.1 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 12.4 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIZ
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
TA&M Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIZ
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
TA&M Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.3
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
MIZ
TA&M
MIZ
ML
67% 20-10
61% 20-13
54% 15-13
69% 22-10
ATS
67% 20-10
70% 23-10
54% 15-13
69% 22-10
TTL
70% 21-9
79% 26-7
100% 28-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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