Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Explorers VCU @ LAS

VCU

RAMSVCU

18-6  |  Road

77
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 6:30 PM ET
John Glaser Arena
View Odds Details →

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

7-17  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
EXPLORERS
0%
RAMS --
EXPLORERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LA SALLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (La Salle)
RamsVCU (-3.5) 0 ExplorersLAS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

18.4%

Explorers Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAS -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAS)

VCU By 1-7 points

12.2%

VCU By 8-14 points

4.0%

LAS By 1-7 points

24.3%

LAS By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
57
VCU
66
LA SALLE
Simulated Score
63
VCU
72
LA SALLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Explorers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Explorers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Explorers (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Explorers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 VCU @ LAS 77 - 68
Feb 4, 2025 LAS @ VCU 66 - 96
Jan 13, 2024 VCU @ LAS 71 - 65
Dec 31, 2022 LAS @ VCU 67 - 80
Jan 8, 2022 VCU @ LAS 85 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +9.0% more
La Salle: 12.0 vs VCU: 11.0
Blocks (L5) +78.5% more
VCU: 5.4 vs La Salle: 1.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.7%
VCU: 35.6% vs La Salle: 24.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +8.8%
VCU: 75.4% vs La Salle: 66.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VCU Score 57.0 77
LAS Score 66.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.9 / 35.6 21.0 / 40.0
Assists 13.4 / 13.7 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.2 / 5.4 6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 38.1 / 46.4 39.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 66.6 / 75.4 76.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 37.8 33.0 / 43.0
Steals 7.0 / 7.7 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 11.0 6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VCU Advantage
28-8-0 (77.8%)
Margin: 9.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VCU Advantage
18-18-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 9.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -0.2
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAS
VCU
LAS
VCU
ML
69% 22-10
72% 26-10
69% 22-10
67% 22-11
ATS
78% 25-7
81% 29-7
69% 22-10
67% 22-11
TTL
66% 21-11
58% 21-15
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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