AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
GREEN WAVE
100%
OWLS
--
GREEN WAVE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Temple)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TEM -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)
TEM By 1-7 points
9.3%
TEM By 8-14 points
20.1%
TULN By 1-7 points
2.2%
TULN By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Temple
77
TEMPLE
Tulane
58
TULANE
Simulated Score
Temple
70
TEMPLE
Tulane
74
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Green Wave
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Green Wave (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
TULN @ TEM
60 - 89
Feb 11, 2026
TEM @ TULN
66 - 77
Jan 19, 2025
TULN @ TEM
77 - 80
Feb 4, 2024
TEM @ TULN
80 - 92
Mar 5, 2023
TEM @ TULN
82 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+18.5% more
Temple: 34.8
vs
Tulane: 28.4
Assists (L5)
+15.2% more
Temple: 15.0
vs
Tulane: 12.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.1%
Temple: 81.7%
vs
Tulane: 78.6%
Steals (L5)
+65.1% more
Tulane: 8.1
vs
Temple: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEM Score
77.0
66
TULN Score
58.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 29.8
33.0 / 24.0
Assists
12.8 / 15.0
17.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.2
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 43.0
51.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
78.6 / 81.7
68.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
28.4 / 34.8
38.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.1 / 4.9
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 7.8
13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
TULN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
TULN
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
TEM
TULN
TEM
ML
70%
23-10
62%
20-12
47%
15-17
67%
20-10
ATS
62%
20-12-1
56%
18-14
47%
15-17
67%
20-10
TTL
55%
18-15
69%
22-10
100%
32-0
100%
30-0