Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolves @ Lions WGA @ UNA

WEST GEORGIA

WOLVESWGA

11-13  |  Road

82
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Flowers Hall
View Odds Details →

NORTH ALABAMA

LIONSUNA

7-16  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVES
0%
📊
LIONS
100%
WOLVES --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
WEST GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (West Georgia)
WolvesWGA (-3.5) 0 LionsUNA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolves Cover

100.0%

Lions Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WGA -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WGA)

WGA By 1-7 points

0.2%

WGA By 8-14 points

1.4%

UNA By 1-7 points

0.0%

UNA By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
87
WEST GEORGIA
51
NORTH ALABAMA
Simulated Score
72
WEST GEORGIA
78
NORTH ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wolves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wolves (-1) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 UNA @ WGA 63 - 75
Feb 11, 2026 WGA @ UNA 82 - 73
Feb 18, 2025 WGA @ UNA 62 - 80
Feb 8, 2025 UNA @ WGA 78 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +29.7% more
West Georgia: 4.8 vs North Alabama: 3.4
Rebounding (L5) +16.6% more
West Georgia: 37.6 vs North Alabama: 31.4
Assists (L5) +8.2% more
West Georgia: 11.8 vs North Alabama: 10.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.2%
West Georgia: 32.5% vs North Alabama: 28.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WGA Score 87.0 82
UNA Score 51.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.3 / 32.5 40.0 / 50.0
Assists 10.8 / 11.8 8.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.4 / 4.8 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 44.2 49.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 70.1 / 67.1 69.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 31.4 / 37.6 29.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.2 / 6.9 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 7.9 8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WGA Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
UNA
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.2 ATS +/-: -4.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WGA Advantage
21-9-0 (70.0%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
UNA
10-17-1 (37.0%)
Margin: -8.2 ATS +/-: -4.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +2.2
UNA
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNA
WGA
UNA
WGA
ML
43% 13-17
58% 18-13
57% 16-12
61% 19-12
ATS
60% 18-12
71% 22-9
57% 16-12
61% 19-12
TTL
63% 19-11
55% 17-14
100% 28-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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