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CALIFORNIA

GOLDEN BEARSCAL

17-7  |  Road

100
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 7:00 PM ET
JMA Wireless Dome
View Odds Details →

SYRACUSE

ORANGESYR

13-11  |  Home

107
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN BEARS
0%
📊
ORANGE
100%
GOLDEN BEARS --
ORANGE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
CALIFORNIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (California)
Golden BearsCAL (-3.5) 0 OrangeSYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Bears Cover

93.3%

Orange Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CAL -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAL)

CAL By 1-7 points

15.3%

CAL By 8-14 points

25.3%

SYR By 1-7 points

4.8%

SYR By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
71
CALIFORNIA
56
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
71
CALIFORNIA
75
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Bears Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Orange Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Bears (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Orange (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 CAL @ SYR 100 - 107
Feb 1, 2025 SYR @ CAL 75 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +9.8% more
California: 12.0 vs Syracuse: 10.8
Free Throw % (L5) +7.2%
California: 79.0% vs Syracuse: 71.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
California: 39.2% vs Syracuse: 32.4%
Blocks (L5) +238.5% more
Syracuse: 5.9 vs California: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAL Score 71.0 100
SYR Score 56.0 107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 39.2 24.0 / 37.0
Assists 11.3 / 10.8 17.0 / 16.0
Blocks 5.9 / 1.7 9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 42.6 54.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 71.9 / 79.0 60.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 30.7 / 33.0 43.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.0 / 4.1 12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 12.0 12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAL Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
SYR
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAL Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
SYR
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CAL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.8
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
CAL
SYR
CAL
ML
78% 25-7
61% 20-13
69% 22-10
77% 24-7
ATS
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
69% 22-10
78% 25-7
TTL
66% 21-11
70% 23-10
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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