Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Terriers @ Black Knights BU @ ARMY

BOSTON UNIVERSITY

TERRIERSBU

10-15  |  Road

85
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 6:00 PM ET
Christl Arena
View Odds Details →

ARMY

BLACK KNIGHTSARMY

10-15  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
0%
📊
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
TERRIERS --
BLACK KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Boston University)
TerriersBU (-3.5) 0 Black KnightsARMY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Terriers Cover

69.1%

Black Knights Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)

BU By 1-7 points

27.2%

BU By 8-14 points

23.0%

ARMY By 1-7 points

18.6%

ARMY By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
85
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
80
ARMY
Simulated Score
66
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
72
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Terriers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Black Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Terriers (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Black Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 BU @ ARMY 85 - 68
Jan 10, 2026 ARMY @ BU 91 - 100
Jan 18, 2025 BU @ ARMY 62 - 68
Jan 5, 2025 ARMY @ BU 63 - 71
Feb 14, 2024 BU @ ARMY 50 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +14.8% more
Boston University: 3.0 vs Army: 2.6
Field Goal % (L5) +11.1%
Boston University: 48.6% vs Army: 37.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.1%
Boston University: 40.4% vs Army: 30.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.6%
Boston University: 71.8% vs Army: 67.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BU Score 85.0 85
ARMY Score 80.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 40.4 32.0 / 47.0
Assists 13.4 / 14.5 13.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.6 / 3.0 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 37.6 / 48.6 38.0 / 66.0
Free Throw % 67.3 / 71.8 75.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 36.8 / 35.4 27.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.4 / 4.0 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 12.5 7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.2
ARMY
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.2
ARMY
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: +8.4
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
BU
ARMY
BU
ML
44% 14-18
68% 23-11
50% 16-16
62% 21-13
ATS
44% 14-18
62% 21-13
50% 16-16
62% 21-13
TTL
81% 26-6
65% 22-12
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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