Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinal @ Eagles STAN @ BC

STANFORD

CARDINALSTAN

15-9  |  Road

70
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 9:00 PM ET
Conte Forum
View Odds Details →

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

9-14  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINAL
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
CARDINAL --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Boston College)
CardinalSTAN (-3.5) 0 EaglesBC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinal Cover

1.8%

Eagles Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BC -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)

STAN By 1-7 points

1.4%

STAN By 8-14 points

0.2%

BC By 1-7 points

6.8%

BC By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
56
STANFORD
77
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
68
STANFORD
73
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 STAN @ BC 70 - 64
Feb 26, 2025 BC @ STAN 60 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +43.5% more
Stanford: 5.3 vs Boston College: 3.0
Steals (L5) +41.0% more
Stanford: 8.1 vs Boston College: 4.8
Free Throw % (L5) +16.1%
Stanford: 76.0% vs Boston College: 59.9%
Turnovers (L5) +11.3% more
Stanford: 10.7 vs Boston College: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STAN Score 56.0 70
BC Score 77.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.2 / 37.2 25.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.0 / 11.5 7.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.0 / 5.3 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.0 / 45.3 46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 59.9 / 76.0 75.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 32.5 / 33.9 32.0 / 33.0
Steals 4.8 / 8.1 4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 10.7 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STAN Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STAN Advantage
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
BC
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.9
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
STAN
BC
STAN
ML
61% 19-12
48% 16-17
61% 17-11
50% 16-16
ATS
73% 22-8-1
48% 16-17
61% 17-11
50% 16-16
TTL
61% 19-12
55% 18-15
100% 28-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
yahoo 1 day, 1 hour ago
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 TV Schedule Revealed: Up to Seven…
courant 1 day, 7 hours ago
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
yahoo 2 days, 13 hours ago
Lee University Basketball Alum Todd Amburgy: A Legacy of Defense…
chattanoogan 5 days, 20 hours ago
Michigan State's Exhibition Win Reveals Key Player Development a…
yahoo 5 days, 21 hours ago