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VIRGINIA TECH

HOKIESVT

16-8  |  Road

76
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Littlejohn Coliseum
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

20-4  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
HOKIES
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
HOKIES --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (Virginia Tech)
HokiesVT (-3.5) 0 TigersCLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hokies Cover

100.0%

Tigers Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VT -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)

VT By 1-7 points

0.1%

VT By 8-14 points

0.6%

CLEM By 1-7 points

0.0%

CLEM By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
93
VIRGINIA TECH
54
CLEMSON
Simulated Score
68
VIRGINIA TECH
72
CLEMSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hokies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hokies (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 VT @ CLEM 76 - 66
Mar 8, 2025 VT @ CLEM 47 - 65
Jan 25, 2025 CLEM @ VT 72 - 57
Jan 10, 2024 CLEM @ VT 72 - 87
Jan 21, 2023 VT @ CLEM 50 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +8.5% more
Virginia Tech: 11.9 vs Clemson: 10.8
Free Throw % (L5) +6.8%
Virginia Tech: 77.0% vs Clemson: 70.2%
Blocks (L5) +19.1% more
Clemson: 3.1 vs Virginia Tech: 2.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.6%
Clemson: 41.1% vs Virginia Tech: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VT Score 93.0 76
CLEM Score 54.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.1 / 30.6 31.0 / 52.0
Assists 12.5 / 12.6 6.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.6 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 49.3 / 41.7 45.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 70.2 / 77.0 61.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 31.2 / 32.6 27.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.0 / 5.8 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 11.9 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VT
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
CLEM Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VT Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
CLEM
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +3.6
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
VT
CLEM
VT
ML
63% 22-13
53% 17-15
72% 23-9
72% 23-9
ATS
71% 25-10
59% 19-13
72% 23-9
72% 23-9
TTL
69% 24-11
69% 22-10
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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