FLORIDA ATLANTIC

OWLSFAU

14-10  |  Road

73
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Tudor Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

RICE

OWLSRICE

10-14  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
📊
OWLS
100%
OWLS --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
OwlsFAU (-3.5) 0 OwlsRICE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

65.5%

Owls Cover

34.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FAU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)

FAU By 1-7 points

27.4%

FAU By 8-14 points

21.6%

RICE By 1-7 points

20.1%

RICE By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
90
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
86
RICE
Simulated Score
77
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
68
RICE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Owls Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Owls Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Owls (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Owls (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Win
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 FAU @ RICE 73 - 81
Jan 19, 2025 RICE @ FAU 73 - 75
Jan 24, 2024 FAU @ RICE 69 - 56
Mar 2, 2023 FAU @ RICE 103 - 74
Feb 9, 2023 RICE @ FAU 81 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +6.2%
Florida Atlantic: 68.2% vs Rice: 62.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
Florida Atlantic: 44.1% vs Rice: 41.1%
Rebounding (L5) +11.3% more
Rice: 43.6 vs Florida Atlantic: 39.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Rice: 33.3% vs Florida Atlantic: 29.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FAU Score 90.0 73
RICE Score 86.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 29.9 32.0 / 19.0
Assists 12.2 / 12.4 14.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.7 / 4.9 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 44.1 48.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 62.0 / 68.2 60.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 43.6 / 39.2 33.0 / 43.0
Steals 6.0 / 5.7 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 13.9 5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
RICE
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
RICE Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +0.2
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +2.4