AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
OWLS
100%
OWLS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FAU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)
FAU By 1-7 points
27.4%
FAU By 8-14 points
21.6%
RICE By 1-7 points
20.1%
RICE By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida Atlantic
90
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Rice
86
RICE
Simulated Score
Florida Atlantic
77
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Rice
68
RICE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Owls (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Win
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
FAU @ RICE
73 - 81
Jan 19, 2025
RICE @ FAU
73 - 75
Jan 24, 2024
FAU @ RICE
69 - 56
Mar 2, 2023
FAU @ RICE
103 - 74
Feb 9, 2023
RICE @ FAU
81 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.2%
Florida Atlantic: 68.2%
vs
Rice: 62.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Florida Atlantic: 44.1%
vs
Rice: 41.1%
Rebounding (L5)
+11.3% more
Rice: 43.6
vs
Florida Atlantic: 39.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Rice: 33.3%
vs
Florida Atlantic: 29.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAU Score
90.0
73
RICE Score
86.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 29.9
32.0 / 19.0
Assists
12.2 / 12.4
14.0 / 6.0
Blocks
4.7 / 4.9
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 44.1
48.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
62.0 / 68.2
60.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
43.6 / 39.2
33.0 / 43.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.7
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 13.9
5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
RICE
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
RICE
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICE
FAU
RICE
FAU
ML
53%
16-14
64%
21-12
53%
16-14
66%
21-11
ATS
60%
18-12
70%
23-10
53%
16-14
66%
21-11
TTL
77%
23-7
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
32-0