UTEP
MINERSUTEP
9-15 | Road
69
JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
13-10 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
MINERS
100%
GAMECOCKS
0%
MINERS
--
GAMECOCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Jacksonville State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JXST -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)
UTEP By 1-7 points
18.6%
UTEP By 8-14 points
8.0%
JXST By 1-7 points
27.2%
JXST By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UTEP
58
UTEP
Jacksonville State
63
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Simulated Score
UTEP
70
UTEP
Jacksonville State
75
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gamecocks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Gamecocks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
JXST @ UTEP
64 - 61
Feb 11, 2026
UTEP @ JXST
69 - 64
Feb 22, 2025
UTEP @ JXST
65 - 73
Jan 23, 2025
JXST @ UTEP
73 - 66
Feb 29, 2024
UTEP @ JXST
72 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.4% more
Jacksonville State: 13.2
vs
UTEP: 10.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Jacksonville State: 43.5%
vs
UTEP: 39.5%
Blocks (L5)
+20.3% more
UTEP: 4.4
vs
Jacksonville State: 3.5
Assists (L5)
+17.4% more
UTEP: 12.0
vs
Jacksonville State: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTEP Score
58.0
69
JXST Score
63.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.3 / 32.4
44.0 / 44.0
Assists
9.9 / 12.0
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.4
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 39.5
49.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
73.0 / 72.6
57.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
38.8 / 38.2
30.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.5 / 7.4
4.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 10.3
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTEP
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
JXST
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTEP
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
JXST
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JXST
UTEP
JXST
UTEP
ML
50%
16-16
70%
21-9
55%
17-14
72%
21-8
ATS
62%
20-12
57%
17-13
55%
17-14
73%
22-8
TTL
62%
20-12
60%
18-12
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
