EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
10-15 | Road
70
WESTERN ILLINOIS
LEATHERNECKSWIU
4-21 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
LEATHERNECKS
100%
PANTHERS
--
LEATHERNECKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Eastern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EIU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EIU)
EIU By 1-7 points
16.9%
EIU By 8-14 points
26.2%
WIU By 1-7 points
5.8%
WIU By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Illinois
79
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Western Illinois
65
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Eastern Illinois
68
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Western Illinois
72
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Leathernecks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Leathernecks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o133.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 10, 2026
EIU @ WIU
70 - 79
Jan 13, 2026
WIU @ EIU
55 - 57
Jan 30, 2025
EIU @ WIU
71 - 59
Jan 4, 2025
WIU @ EIU
75 - 67
Feb 29, 2024
EIU @ WIU
66 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.2% more
Eastern Illinois: 7.8
vs
Western Illinois: 4.6
Blocks (L5)
+34.2% more
Eastern Illinois: 1.5
vs
Western Illinois: 1.0
Assists (L5)
+18.1% more
Eastern Illinois: 9.9
vs
Western Illinois: 8.1
Turnovers (L5)
+10.2% more
Eastern Illinois: 12.5
vs
Western Illinois: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EIU Score
79.0
70
WIU Score
65.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.5 / 36.3
40.0 / 27.0
Assists
8.1 / 9.9
9.0 / 11.0
Blocks
1.0 / 1.5
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
36.8 / 41.6
46.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 74.2
73.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
27.4 / 29.1
36.0 / 34.0
Steals
4.6 / 7.8
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 12.5
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
Advantage
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
WIU
5-26-0
(16.1%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU
Advantage
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
WIU
11-17-0
(39.3%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIU
EIU
WIU
EIU
ML
45%
14-17
56%
18-14
61%
19-12
74%
23-8
ATS
52%
16-15
50%
16-16
61%
19-12
74%
23-8
TTL
45%
14-17
69%
22-10
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
