ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
12-11 | Road
66
GRAMBLING
TIGERSGRAM
11-11 | Home
58
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
TIGERS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
GRAMBLING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Grambling)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GRAM -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GRAM)
AAMU By 1-7 points
2.7%
AAMU By 8-14 points
0.5%
GRAM By 1-7 points
10.7%
GRAM By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Alabama A&M
60
ALABAMA A&M
Grambling
78
GRAMBLING
Simulated Score
Alabama A&M
68
ALABAMA A&M
Grambling
72
GRAMBLING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o135.5
Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
GRAM @ AAMU
63 - 77
Feb 9, 2026
AAMU @ GRAM
66 - 58
Mar 11, 2025
AAMU @ GRAM
56 - 73
Mar 6, 2025
AAMU @ GRAM
51 - 67
Feb 10, 2025
GRAM @ AAMU
72 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+26.8% more
Grambling: 13.2
vs
Alabama A&M: 10.4
Rebounding (L5)
+20.9% more
Grambling: 38.5
vs
Alabama A&M: 31.8
Blocks (L5)
+12.7% more
Grambling: 3.1
vs
Alabama A&M: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+10.6% more
Alabama A&M: 12.3
vs
Grambling: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AAMU Score
60.0
66
GRAM Score
78.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.1 / 37.6
17.0 / 39.0
Assists
11.0 / 12.3
13.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.1 / 2.8
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
40.0 / 41.4
30.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
73.0 / 75.5
89.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 31.8
33.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.3
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 10.4
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AAMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
GRAM
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AAMU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
GRAM
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GRAM
AAMU
GRAM
AAMU
ML
68%
21-10
55%
16-13
68%
17-8
67%
16-8
ATS
61%
19-12
55%
16-13
68%
17-8
67%
16-8
TTL
58%
18-13
66%
19-10
100%
25-0
100%
24-0
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