MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
21-29 | Road
99
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
27-24 | Home
118
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
MAGIC
0%
BUCKS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
MIL By 1-7 points
13.7%
MIL By 8-14 points
4.8%
ORL By 1-7 points
25.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
101
MILWAUKEE
Orlando
109
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Orlando
118
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u220.0
Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim
u220.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
ORL @ MIL
130 - 91
Feb 11, 2026
MIL @ ORL
116 - 108
Feb 9, 2026
MIL @ ORL
99 - 118
Mar 8, 2025
ORL @ MIL
111 - 109
Jan 15, 2025
ORL @ MIL
93 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+129.5% more
Orlando: 11.7
vs
Milwaukee: 5.1
Blocks (L5)
+109.7% more
Orlando: 6.5
vs
Milwaukee: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.5%
Orlando: 84.1%
vs
Milwaukee: 69.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+14.3% more
Orlando: 14.6
vs
Milwaukee: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
101.0
99
ORL Score
109.0
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 38.7
33.0 / 36.0
Assists
26.8 / 28.4
27.0 / 17.0
Blocks
6.5 / 3.1
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 49.0
47.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
84.1 / 69.6
89.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
38.7 / 45.4
44.0 / 37.0
Steals
11.7 / 5.1
14.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 12.8
11.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
MIL
ORL
MIL
ML
61%
65-42
64%
61-35
56%
51-40
60%
49-32
ATS
64%
68-38-1
68%
65-31
56%
51-40
60%
49-32
TTL
57%
61-46
55%
53-43
100%
91-0
100%
81-0
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