Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Golden Lions JKST @ UAPB

JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

7-16  |  Road

63
FINAL
Mon, Feb 9 • 6:30 PM ET
H.O. Clemmons Arena
View Odds Details →

ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF

GOLDEN LIONSUAPB

10-13  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
GOLDEN LIONS
0%
TIGERS --
GOLDEN LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Arkansas-Pine Bluff)
TigersJKST (-3.5) 0 Golden LionsUAPB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

1.8%

Golden Lions Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UAPB -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAPB)

JKST By 1-7 points

1.4%

JKST By 8-14 points

0.2%

UAPB By 1-7 points

6.8%

UAPB By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
65
JACKSON STATE
86
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Simulated Score
62
JACKSON STATE
70
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Lions Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Lions Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Lions (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Golden Lions (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 UAPB @ JKST 78 - 81
Feb 9, 2026 JKST @ UAPB 63 - 84
Mar 6, 2025 JKST @ UAPB 76 - 69
Feb 10, 2025 UAPB @ JKST 78 - 94
Mar 7, 2024 UAPB @ JKST 84 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +55.5% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 6.3 vs Jackson State: 4.0
Assists (L5) +25.7% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 14.7 vs Jackson State: 11.7
Field Goal % (L5) +8.0%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 48.9% vs Jackson State: 40.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.2%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 41.5% vs Jackson State: 34.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JKST Score 65.0 63
UAPB Score 86.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.5 / 34.3 45.0 / 26.0
Assists 14.7 / 11.7 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.1 / 4.0 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.9 / 40.9 51.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 79.0 81.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 42.0 36.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.3 / 4.0 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 13.1 7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
UAPB Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -3.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
UAPB Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -3.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAPB
JKST
UAPB
JKST
ML
74% 23-8
77% 24-7
73% 19-7
73% 19-7
ATS
73% 22-8-1
77% 24-7
73% 19-7
73% 19-7
TTL
68% 21-10
58% 18-13
100% 26-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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