CHARLOTTE
49ERSCLT
13-10 | Road
54
MEMPHIS
TIGERSMEM
11-11 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
100%
TIGERS
0%
49ERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
CLT By 1-7 points
15.3%
CLT By 8-14 points
5.8%
MEM By 1-7 points
26.2%
MEM By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
88
CHARLOTTE
Memphis
95
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Charlotte
70
CHARLOTTE
Memphis
78
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 8, 2026
CLT @ MEM
54 - 77
Jan 19, 2025
MEM @ CLT
77 - 68
Feb 21, 2024
CLT @ MEM
52 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+168.3% more
Memphis: 8.9
vs
Charlotte: 3.3
Assists (L5)
+23.4% more
Memphis: 13.3
vs
Charlotte: 10.7
Rebounding (L5)
+13.8% more
Memphis: 37.8
vs
Charlotte: 33.2
Turnovers (L5)
+10.0% more
Memphis: 14.2
vs
Charlotte: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLT Score
88.0
54
MEM Score
95.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 38.8
30.0 / 22.0
Assists
13.3 / 10.7
17.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.1 / 2.8
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 47.3
46.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 73.1
72.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
37.8 / 33.2
41.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.9 / 3.3
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 12.9
10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
MEM
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
MEM
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
MEM
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
CLT
MEM
CLT
ML
62%
20-12
62%
21-13
68%
21-10
67%
22-11
ATS
62%
20-12
68%
23-11
68%
21-10
67%
22-11
TTL
66%
21-11
65%
22-12
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
ACC Commissioner Jim Phillips Shrugs Off Realignment Buzz, Decla…
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
Memphis Basketball's Non-Conference Slate Ranked by Bart Torvik:…