Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chippewas @ Ragin' Cajuns CMU @ UL

CENTRAL MICHIGAN

CHIPPEWASCMU

7-16  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 4:00 PM ET
Cajundome
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA

RAGIN' CAJUNSUL

8-16  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
0%
📊
RAGIN' CAJUNS
100%
CHIPPEWAS --
RAGIN' CAJUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Central Michigan)
ChippewasCMU (-3.5) 0 Ragin' CajunsUL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chippewas Cover

100.0%

Ragin' Cajuns Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CMU -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CMU)

CMU By 1-7 points

0.0%

CMU By 8-14 points

0.1%

UL By 1-7 points

0.0%

UL By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
94
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
49
LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
69
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
78
LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chippewas Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Chippewas (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 CMU @ UL 80 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +41.8% more
Central Michigan: 4.5 vs Louisiana: 2.6
Turnovers (L5) +39.1% more
Central Michigan: 14.7 vs Louisiana: 9.0
Assists (L5) +31.5% more
Central Michigan: 17.8 vs Louisiana: 12.2
Rebounding (L5) +8.4% more
Central Michigan: 33.7 vs Louisiana: 30.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CMU Score 94.0 80
UL Score 49.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.4 / 43.2 50.0 / 47.0
Assists 12.2 / 17.8 16.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.6 / 4.5 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 50.0 52.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 78.6 / 63.4 84.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 30.9 / 33.7 29.0 / 21.0
Steals 5.2 / 5.4 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.0 / 14.7 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
UL Advantage
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
UL
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2% Total +/-: +0.4
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UL
CMU
UL
CMU
ML
66% 21-11
57% 17-13
63% 19-11
70% 21-9
ATS
66% 21-11
67% 20-10
63% 19-11
70% 21-9
TTL
62% 20-12
67% 20-10
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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