COLGATE
RAIDERSCOLG
14-10 | Road
78
BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
8-16 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
0%
BISON
100%
RAIDERS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Colgate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLG -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)
COLG By 1-7 points
24.3%
COLG By 8-14 points
26.8%
BUCK By 1-7 points
12.2%
BUCK By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Colgate
80
COLGATE
Bucknell
71
BUCKNELL
Simulated Score
Colgate
74
COLGATE
Bucknell
67
BUCKNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raiders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raiders (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Raiders (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
COLG @ BUCK
78 - 59
Jan 17, 2026
BUCK @ COLG
76 - 95
Jan 20, 2025
BUCK @ COLG
80 - 87
Jan 5, 2025
COLG @ BUCK
60 - 66
Mar 10, 2024
BUCK @ COLG
65 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+40.5% more
Colgate: 2.3
vs
Bucknell: 1.4
Steals (L5)
+16.7% more
Colgate: 7.3
vs
Bucknell: 6.1
Rebounding (L5)
+11.8% more
Colgate: 36.2
vs
Bucknell: 31.9
Turnovers (L5)
+8.5% more
Colgate: 12.2
vs
Bucknell: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLG Score
80.0
78
BUCK Score
71.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 32.0
12.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.9 / 12.5
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
1.4 / 2.3
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 47.9
33.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
82.6 / 74.3
74.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
31.9 / 36.2
35.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.1 / 7.3
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 12.2
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLG
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
BUCK
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUCK
COLG
BUCK
COLG
ML
55%
18-15
59%
19-13
64%
21-12
69%
22-10
ATS
45%
15-18
72%
23-9
64%
21-12
70%
23-10
TTL
61%
20-13
78%
25-7
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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