Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Highlanders @ Panthers RAD @ HPU

RADFORD

HIGHLANDERSRAD

13-12  |  Road

77
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Qubein Center
View Odds Details →

HIGH POINT

PANTHERSHPU

21-4  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
HIGHLANDERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (High Point)
HighlandersRAD (-3.5) 0 PanthersHPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Highlanders Cover

38.2%

Panthers Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HPU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)

RAD By 1-7 points

21.6%

RAD By 8-14 points

10.7%

HPU By 1-7 points

27.2%

HPU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
82
RADFORD
85
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
72
RADFORD
76
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o162.5 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 RAD @ HPU 77 - 86
Jan 23, 2026 HPU @ RAD 93 - 83
Mar 8, 2025 RAD @ HPU 73 - 76
Feb 5, 2025 HPU @ RAD 78 - 75
Jan 2, 2025 RAD @ HPU 58 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +78.0% more
High Point: 14.3 vs Radford: 8.0
Blocks (L5) +47.4% more
High Point: 3.4 vs Radford: 2.3
Assists (L5) +18.4% more
High Point: 13.0 vs Radford: 11.0
Free Throw % (L5) +2.2%
High Point: 76.2% vs Radford: 73.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RAD Score 82.0 77
HPU Score 85.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 36.5 20.0 / 27.0
Assists 13.0 / 11.0 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.4 / 2.3 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 45.1 41.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 76.2 / 73.9 84.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 30.6 / 36.5 40.0 / 37.0
Steals 14.3 / 8.0 12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 7.3 / 12.4 14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RAD
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
HPU Advantage
31-5-0 (86.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RAD
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
HPU Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.9
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
RAD
HPU
RAD
ML
80% 28-7
77% 23-7
80% 28-7
76% 22-7
ATS
71% 25-10
63% 19-11
80% 28-7
77% 23-7
TTL
66% 23-12
67% 20-10
100% 35-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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