Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Knights FGCU @ BELL

FLORIDA GULF COAST

EAGLESFGCU

10-14  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 2:00 PM ET
Knights Hall
View Odds Details →

BELLARMINE

KNIGHTSBELL

10-13  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
KNIGHTS
0%
EAGLES --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
BELLARMINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Bellarmine)
EaglesFGCU (-3.5) 0 KnightsBELL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

0.1%

Knights Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BELL -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BELL)

FGCU By 1-7 points

0.1%

FGCU By 8-14 points

0.0%

BELL By 1-7 points

0.6%

BELL By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
59
FLORIDA GULF COAST
91
BELLARMINE
Simulated Score
65
FLORIDA GULF COAST
72
BELLARMINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knights (-1) Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 FGCU @ BELL 65 - 81
Feb 26, 2025 BELL @ FGCU 61 - 80
Jan 23, 2025 FGCU @ BELL 77 - 61
Feb 10, 2024 BELL @ FGCU 52 - 63
Jan 14, 2023 FGCU @ BELL 41 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +18.4% more
Bellarmine: 17.3 vs Florida Gulf Coast: 14.6
Free Throw % (L5) +11.7%
Bellarmine: 83.9% vs Florida Gulf Coast: 72.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +10.2%
Bellarmine: 55.1% vs Florida Gulf Coast: 44.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.0%
Bellarmine: 44.1% vs Florida Gulf Coast: 38.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FGCU Score 59.0 65
BELL Score 91.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.1 / 38.1 44.0 / 24.0
Assists 17.3 / 14.6 19.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.3 / 3.5 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 55.1 / 44.9 53.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 83.9 / 72.1 83.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 27.3 / 34.8 30.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.7 / 6.8 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 7.8 / 12.5 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FGCU Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
BELL
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FGCU
9-22-1 (29.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
BELL Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.3
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +9.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BELL
FGCU
BELL
FGCU
ML
72% 23-9
58% 19-14
94% 29-2
67% 22-11
ATS
72% 23-9
61% 20-13
94% 29-2
67% 22-11
TTL
50% 16-16
61% 20-13
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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