STONEHILL
SKYHAWKSSTO
9-15 | Road
54
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
15-8 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
0%
SHARKS
100%
SKYHAWKS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
STONEHILL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Stonehill)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STO -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STO)
STO By 1-7 points
0.5%
STO By 8-14 points
2.7%
LIU By 1-7 points
0.0%
LIU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Stonehill
77
STONEHILL
Long Island University
44
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Stonehill
67
STONEHILL
Long Island University
75
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Skyhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Skyhawks (-10.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
STO @ LIU
54 - 61
Jan 23, 2026
LIU @ STO
66 - 63
Feb 8, 2025
STO @ LIU
59 - 62
Jan 10, 2025
LIU @ STO
70 - 60
Jan 25, 2024
STO @ LIU
60 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+54.5% more
Long Island University: 13.9
vs
Stonehill: 9.0
Steals (L5)
+37.3% more
Long Island University: 7.2
vs
Stonehill: 5.3
Blocks (L5)
+33.8% more
Long Island University: 5.9
vs
Stonehill: 4.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
Long Island University: 35.1%
vs
Stonehill: 27.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STO Score
77.0
54
LIU Score
44.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 27.5
33.0 / 19.0
Assists
13.9 / 9.0
8.0 / 6.0
Blocks
5.9 / 4.4
8.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 38.6
45.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 68.9
73.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 36.4
34.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.2 / 5.3
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 11.7
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STO
Advantage
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
LIU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STO
Advantage
14-15-2
(48.3%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
LIU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5%
Total +/-: -4.0
LIU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIU
STO
LIU
STO
ML
60%
21-14
45%
15-18
69%
24-11
70%
23-10
ATS
63%
22-13
39%
13-20
69%
24-11
70%
23-10
TTL
60%
21-14
55%
18-15
100%
35-0
100%
33-0
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