Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Skyhawks MORE @ UTM

MOREHEAD STATE

EAGLESMORE

12-12  |  Road

61
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 4:00 PM ET
Kathleen and Tom Elam Center
View Odds Details →

UT MARTIN

SKYHAWKSUTM

19-5  |  Home

55
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
SKYHAWKS
100%
EAGLES --
SKYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
MOREHEAD STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Morehead State)
EaglesMORE (-3.5) 0 SkyhawksUTM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

93.3%

Skyhawks Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MORE -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MORE)

MORE By 1-7 points

15.3%

MORE By 8-14 points

25.3%

UTM By 1-7 points

4.8%

UTM By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
78
MOREHEAD STATE
63
UT MARTIN
Simulated Score
76
MOREHEAD STATE
68
UT MARTIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Eagles (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o136.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 MORE @ UTM 61 - 55
Jan 8, 2026 UTM @ MORE 76 - 68
Mar 1, 2025 MORE @ UTM 59 - 47
Dec 19, 2024 UTM @ MORE 69 - 70
Mar 8, 2024 MORE @ UTM 84 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +16.2%
Morehead State: 76.0% vs UT Martin: 59.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.7%
Morehead State: 46.9% vs UT Martin: 44.2%
Assists (L5) +45.3% more
UT Martin: 16.4 vs Morehead State: 11.3
Rebounding (L5) +38.0% more
UT Martin: 42.8 vs Morehead State: 31.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MORE Score 78.0 61
UTM Score 63.0 55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 34.7 15.0 / 39.0
Assists 16.4 / 11.3 7.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.8 / 3.5 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 46.9 26.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 59.9 / 76.0 68.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 42.8 / 31.0 43.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.2 / 6.0 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.3 / 11.5 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MORE
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
UTM Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MORE Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
UTM
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MORE
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.5
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -8.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTM
MORE
UTM
MORE
ML
69% 22-10
62% 20-12
69% 20-9
68% 21-10
ATS
56% 18-14
59% 19-13
69% 20-9
68% 21-10
TTL
44% 14-18
53% 17-15
100% 29-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
si 1 day, 15 hours ago
Week 7 High School Football Picks: Mater Dei Faces JSerra, Chami…
si 1 day, 21 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days, 3 hours ago
Calipari Drops Stunner: Nine Arkansas Players Outearn Assistant …
yahoo 1 week ago
Isaiah Marshall's Rocky Start: Kansas QB Shows Flashes but Seeks…
si 1 week, 1 day ago